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Started by Carys Davis Feb 27, 2010.
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Comment by Geoffrey Michael Nicholls on February 16, 2012 at 17:37 It all seems to have gone very quiet. Here are some of my latest thoughts
The Case for Dementia Sufferers and their Carers
In Cornwall there are estimated to be 9300 people with Dementia. The number is derived from those known to Social Care and the county’s demographics. Cornwall has identified 48% of sufferers in the county, which is better than most authorities.
There is good support in the form of literature and advice for those in the early stages of Dementia. This helps carers to understand the condition and plan for the future. It is those in the advanced stages and their carers that are the cause of most concern.
If we take 10% of the 9300 as falling into the advanced category we arrive at a figure of 930. I would describe advanced category as those sufferers who cannot be left without supervision for more than a very short period of time, half an hour or less.
Talking to carers and those who help in the memory cafes there appears to be two possibilities open to them.
To continue to care fulltime without any formal help
To make the heartbreaking decision that residential care is the only solution
This is a stark choice with which to confront people.
Informal help may be available, neighbours doing shopping, helping with gardening, or providing transport on occasions. In some areas there may more formal voluntary organisations that can help, but this sort of support is very sporadic and only available in a few areas.
The picture that emerges is a group of people who are on duty 24 hours a day without any certainty of when they will have any time to themselves.
In normal circumstances most people would expect to have one day a week when they are not working. They might also expect to have two weeks holiday a year. This of course is not possible, but they should be getting some minimum support. I would suggest as an absolute minimum one day of respite care every quarter and a sitting service of three hours per week.
Clearly this would increase the budget substantially. The government will say that the funds are not available, but funds are always available for the government’s priorities. Money for weekly refuse collection, the doubling of the budget for the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games, money to subsidise childcare for working wives has been suggested. The argument that the country cannot afford to provide an adequate service is nonsense. Despite the Prime Minister's assertion that the vulnerable will be protected, it is clear that those who shout most receive most. Further arguments are based on predictions of future need. The predictions that the government are using take current trends and project those trends in a straight line for 30 or 40 years. There is no reason to believe that life expectancy will keep on rising at the current rate for the next 40 years, nor that the increase in the incidence of dementia will be continue to rise. In fact, there are already signs that the progress of dementia will be slowed or indeed stopped in the next decade.. If we think of the country in the early 1800s we would probably predict that in the following 50 years there would have been a substantial reduction in the population due to contagious diseases. In fact, due to changes in hygiene and vaccination the population flourished.
Anyone who has had to do predictions for business know that in the short term, the predictions can be quite accurate say for 5 years, 5 to 10 years can be of some guide, but in my experience predictions over 10 years are at best tentative suggestions of what might, possibly happen.
On the enclosed spreadsheet are the costs of providing the minimum service that I suggested for Cornwall. I should add that I have not prepared this paper as a criticism of Cornwall Council or the NHS; it is a criticism of the government's funding and understanding of the needs of some of the most vulnerable people in our society. I use Cornwall to illustrate the problem but from my contacts, it would appear that the same situation appertains in much of the country. I would just add that nationally social care has not put its case forward with the vigour of some other services.
As the enclosed spreadsheet shows the cost would be just over £2m a year. It is unlikely that this figure would be reached since some carers would not take the opportunity of respite care and then there would be the receipts from means tested charges. If by supporting the carers they can carry on caring for 2 or 3 months longer this saving can be set against the £2m. Though why we charge for respite when carers are saving the state so much expense does not appear reasonable. However that is a discussion for the future and not for now.
Mike Nicholls February 2012
Comment by Geoffrey Michael Nicholls on September 9, 2010 at 20:47
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